Kalshi· Economics

Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion?

Pays out if the result is 65 to 74.9.

Chance

Buy Yes

7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Feb 28, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be above 170‎ billion?91¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be below 45‎ billion?4¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion?5¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6‎ billion and 119.9‎ billion?8¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 120‎ billion and 139.9‎ billion?6¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion?6¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion?5¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion?1¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion?5¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion?4¢
Can’t both happenWill US trade deficit for 2026 be between 95‎ billion and 104.9‎ billion?6¢

How this market is decidedShow

If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.

Related markets