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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will US trade deficit for 2026 be below 45‎ billion?

Pays out if the result is below 45.

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Feb 28, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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How this market is decidedShow

If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.