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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$3.9K

as Polymarket reports it · 20 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 2 minutes ago · feed disconnected

Buy Yes (bids)

Nothing resting

    Sell Yes (asks)

    • 20$0
    • 20$0
    • 60$2
    • 27$1
    • 33$2
    Spread
    Mid
    Microprice
    Within 5¢
    $0 · $190
    More money on NoImbalance -100%More money on Yes

    Latest trades

    • 20 minutes agoBought No at 99¢$335
    • 3 hours agoBought Yes at $0
    • 3 hours agoBought No at 98¢$123
    • 9 hours agoBought No at 98¢$6
    • 9 hours agoBought No at 98¢$5
    • 9 hours agoBought No at 98¢$5
    • 9 hours agoBought No at 98¢$10
    • 9 hours agoBought No at 98¢$20
    • 9 hours agoBought No at 98¢$10
    • 9 hours agoBought No at 98¢$12

    Rules

    How this market is decided
    As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

    This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

    Rule history

    1. First recordedNo changes since.

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