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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?

Chance

12%

Buy Yes

12¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

89¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$1.4K

as Polymarket reports it · 33 fills

Spread

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 1 minute ago · feed disconnected

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 11¢81$9
  • 10¢60$6
  • 198$18
  • 44$4
  • 182$13

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 12¢75$9
  • 13¢80$10
  • 14¢65$9
  • 19¢10$2
  • 20¢57$11
Spread
Mid
11.5¢
Microprice
11.5¢
Within 5¢
$76 · $191
More money on NoImbalance -43%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoBought No at 90¢$435
  • 3 hours agoSold Yes at 10¢$2
  • 6 hours agoBought No at 88.6¢$208
  • 7 hours agoSold No at 84¢$1
  • 7 hours agoSold No at 84¢$32
  • 7 hours agoSold Yes at 14¢$9
  • 7 hours agoBought No at 85¢$4
  • 7 hours agoBought No at 86¢$26
  • 7 hours agoBought No at 85¢$4
  • 8 hours agoBought No at 86¢$5

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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