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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?

Chance

34%

Buy Yes

36¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

67¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$666

as Polymarket reports it · 25 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold Yes at 32¢$10
  • 4 hours agoBought Yes at 33¢$2
  • 4 hours agoBought No at 68¢$2
  • 8 hours agoBought Yes at 30¢$9
  • 9 hours agoSold Yes at 30¢$15
  • 9 hours agoBought No at 71¢$4
  • 9 hours agoBought No at 70¢$4
  • 9 hours agoBought No at 70¢$7
  • 9 hours agoBought No at 70¢$2
  • 9 hours agoSold Yes at 30¢$2

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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