Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?

Chance

28%

Buy Yes

28¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

73¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 0%-15%?14.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 15%-25%?8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 25%-30%?14¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 30%-35%?61.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 35%-40%?19.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 40%-45%?11¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?12¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more?11¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election?7.6¢

Latest trades

yesterdaySold Yes at 27¢$5
yesterdaySold Yes at 27¢$9
2 days agoSold Yes at 27¢$5
2 days agoSold Yes at 27¢$5
2 days agoBought No at 73¢$4
2 days agoBought No at 73¢$37