Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more?

Chance

11%

Buy Yes

11¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

90¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 29 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 0%-15%?14.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 15%-25%?8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 25%-30%?65¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 30%-35%?42.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 35%-40%?9.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 40%-45%?21¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?12¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?28¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election?37.6¢

Latest trades

13 hours agoSold Yes at 10¢$2
2 days agoSold Yes at 10¢$2
2 days agoBought No at 88¢$13
2 days agoBought No at 88¢$44
2 days agoBought No at 88¢$4