HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the Democratic candidate's margin of victory in the HI-01 House election.
- us house of representatives
- democratic party
- hawaii's 1st congressional district
- politics
- us politics
- elections
Polymarket$2 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 50-55% | 28% | — | 28¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 15% | — | 30.2¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 0-15% | 11% | — | 16.2¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 55%+ | 11% | — | 11¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 10% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 8% | — | 16.1¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Democrat 15-25% | 5% | — | 8¢ |
Democrat 50-55%
28%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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