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housing

24 markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $34.3K traded today.

MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026Above 444.8EconomicsEnds Oct 14, 202646%−2¢Kalshi49¢$15.2K7¢Thin
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?Above 6.9%EconomicsEnds Aug 4, 2026———$5.8K—Thin
US active housing listings in SeptemberAbove 1,200,000 listingsEconomicsEnds Oct 1, 20266%−1¢Kalshi6¢$5.4K1¢
Will NYC’s rent freeze take effect on October 1?PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202688%−4¢Kalshi89¢$3K2¢
Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026Above 3,500 unitsEconomicsEnds May 3, 202771%+2¢Kalshi71¢$2.6K1¢
NYC median asking rent in December 2026Above $3,800EconomicsEnds Jan 31, 202797%0¢Kalshi97¢$1.8K1¢
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?$524K - $530KEconomicsEnds Sep 30, 202645%—Polymarket54.8¢$18921¢Thin
Will the Massachusetts rent control initiative pass?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20276%—Kalshi7.5¢$1253¢Thin
Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?EconomicsEnds Jan 18, 202725%—Kalshi29¢$809¢Thin
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202688%—Polymarket90.9¢$636¢Thin
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026Above 2,100 unitsEconomicsEnds May 3, 202731%—Kalshi32¢$22¢Thin
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026Above 1,250 unitsEconomicsEnds May 31, 202773%—Kalshi73¢$01¢Thin
Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026Above 10000EconomicsEnds Mar 9, 202794%————Thin
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?Above 86,000PoliticsEnds Mar 1, 202792%—Kalshi95¢—7¢Thin
How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?Above 23,000PoliticsEnds Apr 1, 202778%—Kalshi81¢—6¢Thin
California permitted housing units in 2026Above 100,000EconomicsEnds Jan 27, 202797%—Kalshi97¢—1¢Thin
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?Above 15,000PoliticsEnds Sep 17, 202791%—Kalshi95¢—8¢Thin
Colorado permitted housing units in 2026Above 30,000EconomicsEnds Jan 27, 202795%—Kalshi95¢—1¢Thin
Will Colorado home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?EconomicsEnds Feb 23, 202723%—Kalshi23¢—1¢Thin
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?EconomicsEnds Dec 31, 202616%—Kalshi29¢—26¢Thin
Vancouver condo price below C$650K in 2026?EconomicsEnds Jan 15, 202720%—Kalshi22¢—5¢Thin
California Affordable Housing Bond PropositionPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202658%—Polymarket89¢—62¢Thin
California Homebuying Loan Program PropositionPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202672%—Polymarket72¢—1¢Thin
Will Utah's House Price Index exceed 722.63 in Q4 2026?EconomicsEnds Feb 28, 202759%—Kalshi59¢—1¢Thin

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