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Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?Green Party, ≥6%PoliticsEnds Oct 8, 202714%−6¢Kalshi16¢$4.3K
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percentAt least 15%PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202791%Kalshi95¢$2.2K
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?John HealeyPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202713%Polymarket14¢$861
What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?TrumpCultureEnds Oct 31, 202611%Kalshi20¢$810
UK election called by...?December 31, 2026OtherEnds Dec 31, 202612%Polymarket13¢$691
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election WinnerSagal Abdi-WaliPoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202779%Polymarket79¢$662
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?25-30%PoliticsEnds Oct 8, 202628%Polymarket33¢$565
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?2OtherEnds Dec 31, 202786%Polymarket86¢$245
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?-No Qualifying Event-CultureEnds Sep 16, 202699%Polymarket99.4¢$216
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percentAt least 45%PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202719%Kalshi22¢$162
UK snap election announced?Before Jan 1, 2028PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202631%Kalshi34¢$140
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%Polymarket5.7¢$50
Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?Labour, ≥15%PoliticsEnds Oct 8, 202730%Kalshi40¢$33
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202613%Polymarket14¢$30
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?40-45%PoliticsEnds Oct 8, 202628%Polymarket32¢$8
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?December 31, 2026PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202613%Polymarket13¢$7
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?Before Apr 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20265%Kalshi$3
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?Nigel FaragePoliticsEnds Jan 8, 203527%Kalshi31¢
Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?John HealeyPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202715%Kalshi19¢
Next government of the United Kingdom?Labour majorityPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 203013%Kalshi17¢
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percentAt least 3%PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202796%Kalshi99¢
2028 London mayoral election winner?Sadiq KhanPoliticsEnds May 1, 202926%Kalshi27¢
Which party will win the next UK general election?Labour partyPoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202942%Kalshi44¢
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?6PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202662%Polymarket62¢
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?1PoliticsEnds Jan 8, 202951%Kalshi54¢
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?At least 6PoliticsEnds Aug 15, 202695%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election winner?Labour PartyPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202776%Kalshi80¢
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?Inheritance Tax RisePoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202637%Kalshi41¢
In what year will the next UK general election be held?2029PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202948%Kalshi52¢
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?Before Apr 6, 2028PoliticsEnds Nov 1, 202640%Kalshi44¢
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 2nd placeGreen PartyPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202776%Kalshi77¢
Next UK by-election called by…?December 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202639%Polymarket69¢
UK social media ban in effect by…?June 30, 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202641%Polymarket70¢
When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?Before Apr 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Feb 14, 202765%Kalshi68¢
When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Nov 1, 20269%Kalshi13¢
When will Wales call a snap election?Before Jan 1, 2028PoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202755%Kalshi79¢
When will Scotland call a snap election?Before Jan 1, 2028PoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202728%Kalshi28¢
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202617%Kalshi17¢
Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202619%Kalshi20¢
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20353%Kalshi5.8¢