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Politics

6,653 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victoryAlvarado, 18+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20279%—Kalshi13¢$287¢Thin
Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election winner?Erwin WiensPoliticsEnds Oct 26, 202754%—Kalshi58¢$289¢Thin
Iowa Attorney General winner?Brenna BirdPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202766%—Kalshi71¢$2811¢Thin
MN-06 House winner?Tom EmmerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi94.8¢$283¢Thin
Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election WinnerMike O'ReillyPoliticsEnds Oct 16, 202665%—Polymarket65¢$281¢Thin
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?Center for American ProgressPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202715%—Kalshi17¢$284¢Thin
Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)At least 52%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202724%—Kalshi28¢$289¢Thin
Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket21.9¢$283¢Thin
CO-02 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202622%—Polymarket22¢$271¢Thin
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20265%—Polymarket7¢$274¢Thin
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202670%—Polymarket90¢$2741¢Thin
New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.60MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202721%—Kalshi24¢$277¢Thin
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout1.8M-2MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202649%—Polymarket49¢$271¢Thin
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?No ChangePoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202696%—Polymarket96.9¢$271¢Thin
Rhode Island Senate Election WinnerJack Reed (D)Politics96%—Polymarket97¢$271¢Thin
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?Before Nov 3, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 202632%—Kalshi36¢$278¢Thin
Paraná Senate Election: 2nd PlaceFilipe BarrosPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202651%—Polymarket57¢$2712¢Thin
Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?December 31, 2026PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%—Polymarket15¢$272¢Thin
TX-18 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket20¢$262¢Thin
Maine Governor Election WinnerHannah Pingree (D)Politics95%—Polymarket95.4¢$260.1¢Thin
Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202625%—Polymarket38¢$2627¢Thin
OH-10 House winner?Mike TurnerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202784%—Kalshi85¢$262¢Thin
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?↑ 46%PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket7.9¢$266¢Thin
New York Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket22¢$263¢Thin
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$260.1¢Thin
Iowa Governor margin of victorySand, 6+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202730%—Kalshi36¢$2612¢Thin
NC-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 12-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket19.5¢$260.1¢Thin
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSergio MeneguelliPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202633%—Polymarket33¢$251¢Thin
FL-27 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202625%—Polymarket25¢$251¢Thin
Launceston Mayoral Election WinnerMatthew GarwoodPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202656%—Polymarket58¢$255¢Thin
Nayarit Governor Election WinnerHéctor Santana GarcíaPoliticsEnds Jun 6, 202737%—Polymarket39.8¢$255¢Thin
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?Above 29PoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202710%—Kalshi15¢$2510¢Thin
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?Before Dec 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202619%—Kalshi21¢$254¢Thin
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?Before Oct 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202768%—Kalshi72¢$259¢Thin
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?On Nov 13, 2026PoliticsEnds Nov 13, 202693%—Kalshi95¢$254¢Thin
Idaho Governor Election WinnerBrad Little (R)Politics98%—Polymarket98.1¢$251¢Thin
PA-15 House winner?Glenn ThompsonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%—Kalshi97.4¢$253¢Thin
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.1¢$250.1¢Thin
Nebraska Governor Election WinnerJim Pillen (R)Politics94%—Polymarket94¢$251¢Thin
Trujillo Mayoral Election WinnerVíctor Robert De La Cruz RosasPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202643%—Polymarket44¢$253¢Thin
Michigan Governor margin of victoryDemocrats, 8+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202765%—Kalshi69¢$259¢Thin
California voter ID referendum passes?PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202634%—Polymarket37¢$247¢Thin
Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerChinda Kingsley OgunduPoliticsEnds Feb 6, 202783%—Polymarket83¢$241¢Thin
SAVE Act becomes law by...?PoliticsEnds Apr 29, 20269%—Polymarket9¢$241¢Thin
EU dissolves before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20261%—Polymarket2.2¢$242¢Thin
Amapá Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRandolfePoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202646%—Polymarket46¢$241¢Thin
How many House seats will Democrats win in South Carolina?1PoliticsEnds May 13, 202774%—Kalshi76¢$245¢Thin
FL-08 House winner?Mike HaridopolosPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi98¢$246¢Thin
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202635%—Kalshi38¢$246¢Thin
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 203036%—Kalshi40¢$248¢Thin
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