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Politics

6,650 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
When will Biden release his presidential memoir?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Kalshi2¢$71¢Thin
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20265%—Kalshi5.2¢$70.8¢
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket0.7¢$70.1¢Thin
WA-01 House Election WinnerSuzan DelBene (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket96.9¢$72¢Thin
Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?PoliticsEnds Jan 5, 202717%—Kalshi17¢$71¢Thin
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.5¢$71¢Thin
Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party WinnerNDPoliticsEnds Jul 25, 202787%—Polymarket88¢$72¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?Peter OlofssonPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202697%—Polymarket98.5¢$74¢Thin
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202616%—Kalshi29¢$726¢Thin
Alabama Governor election: Tommy Tuberville vote percentAt least 60%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202728%—Kalshi33¢$610¢Thin
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st PlaceRenato CasagrandePoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202696%—Polymarket98.7¢$65¢Thin
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Polymarket8¢$62¢Thin
WA-09 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202637%—Polymarket72¢$670¢Thin
Hannover mayoral election winner?GreensPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202790%—Kalshi97¢$614¢Thin
Tallahassee Mayoral Election WinnerJeremy MatlowPoliticsEnds Aug 18, 202647%—Polymarket48.9¢$64¢Thin
WA-09 House Election WinnerAdam Smith (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket97.9¢$64¢Thin
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202616%—Polymarket16¢$61¢Thin
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?PoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202753%—Polymarket53¢$61¢Thin
Toronto mayoral election winner?Olivia ChowPoliticsEnds Oct 26, 202789%—Kalshi90.4¢$62¢Thin
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202779%—Kalshi80¢$63¢Thin
Minnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percentAt least 56%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202743%—Kalshi47¢$69¢Thin
Illinois Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202995%—Kalshi96¢$63¢Thin
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20265%—Polymarket6.3¢$62¢Thin
Alabama Senate winner?Barry MoorePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi98¢$62¢Thin
Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)Mohamed ChaoukiPoliticsEnds Sep 23, 202628%—Polymarket30¢$63¢Thin
Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percentAt least 50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202744%—Kalshi48¢$68¢Thin
NY-05 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$61¢Thin
CA-30 House Election WinnerLaura Friedman (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket97.1¢$63¢Thin
CA-30 House winner?Laura FriedmanPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi96.4¢$66¢Thin
FL-23 House winner?Lois FrankelPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202794%—Kalshi95.9¢$64¢Thin
Georgia Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202968%—Kalshi69¢$63¢Thin
North Dakota Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202986%—Kalshi87¢$63¢Thin
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202617%—Polymarket17¢$61¢Thin
Will Trump impose capital controls?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202920%—Kalshi22¢$65¢Thin
Pennsylvania Governor Election WinnerJosh Shapiro (D)Politics97%—Polymarket97.9¢$62¢Thin
Obama federally charged before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20263%—Polymarket3.1¢$60.1¢Thin
MAGA Inc. Cash on Hand (End of Q3)Above $350MPoliticsEnds Oct 21, 202684%—Kalshi86¢$65¢Thin
Another Canada election called by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5.7¢$62¢Thin
St. Petersburg Mayoral ElectionCharlie CristPoliticsEnds Aug 22, 202686%—Kalshi88¢$64¢Thin
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202611%—Polymarket12¢$63¢Thin
Taoyuan Mayor Election WinnerChang San-chengPoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202789%—Polymarket89¢$51¢Thin
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6.4¢$50.1¢Thin
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsEnds Jun 30, 20278%—Polymarket9¢$52¢Thin
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202710%—Kalshi13¢$57¢Thin
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 20298%—Kalshi8.9¢$51¢Thin
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%—Polymarket18¢$57¢Thin
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20277%—Kalshi8¢$52¢Thin
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$51¢Thin
Illinois Senate Election WinnerJuliana Stratton (D)Politics96%—Polymarket97.1¢$52¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?10PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202667%—Polymarket67¢$51¢Thin
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