When will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law?
The market resolves based on when serious AI-incident reporting becomes law in the United States.
- Leading
- Before Jan 1, 202861%
- Trades on
Kalshi- Vol 24h
- —Thin
- Spread
- 4¢round trip on Before Jan 1, 2028
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Vol 24h | Spread | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 61% | — | — | 4¢Thin | 63¢ | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 42% | — | — | 4¢Thin | 44¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 18% | — | — | 2¢Thin | 19¢ |
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