10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
The yield of the 10-year US Treasury bond at year-end determines the outcome.
Kalshi$805 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.15% or above | 29% | — | 31¢ | |
| 5% or above | 54% | — | 54¢ | |
| 4.75% or above | 54% | — | 74¢ | |
| 5.1% or above | 25% | — | 38¢ |
5.15% or above
29%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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