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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.14 on Dec 31, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 5.14.

Chance

30%

Buy Yes

31¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

72¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 7:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 48 minutes agoBought no at 73¢$73
  • 49 minutes agoBought no at 70¢$70
  • 49 minutes agoBought no at 70¢$20
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 30¢$30
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 30¢$30
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 29¢$8
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 74¢$20
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 74¢$21
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 73¢$20
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 29¢$14
How this market is decidedShow

If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.14% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.