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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.74 on Dec 31, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.74.

Chance

54%

Buy Yes

74¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

65¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 7:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 73¢$13
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 72¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 35¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 71¢$27
  • yesterdaySold yes at 71¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.