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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.99 on Dec 31, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.99.

Chance

54%

Buy Yes

54¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

47¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 7:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought no at 46¢$0
  • 10 hours agoBought no at 44¢$6
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 55¢$1
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 57¢$38
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 55¢$6
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$0
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$19
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$1
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$5
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$11
How this market is decidedShow

If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.