Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
The market resolves based on whether Russia invades a NATO country by December 31, 2026.
Polymarket$133 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2025Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 6% | — | 6¢ |
December 31, 2026
6%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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