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Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

The market resolves based on whether Hezbollah disarms by December 31.

PolymarketPolymarketEnds Mar 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
December 3110%10¢

December 31

10%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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