Russia nuclear test by...?
The market resolves based on whether Russia conducts a nuclear test by the specified date.
PolymarketEnds Sep 30, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | — | 6¢ | |
| September 30, 2026 | 1% | — | 1.4¢ |
December 31, 2026
5%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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