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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will the Democratic Party hold 48 seats in the 120th Congress?

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

9.1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

91.5¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 7 hours agoBought no at 91.5¢$104
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 91.4¢$0
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 91.4¢$2
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 91.4¢$2
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 9.4¢$8
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 9.4¢$0
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 9.4¢$1
  • yesterdayBought no at 90.9¢$2
  • yesterdaySold yes at 9.6¢$2
  • yesterdaySold yes at 9.8¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If the Democratic Party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).