Kalshi· Elections

Will the Democratic Party hold 49 seats in the 120th Congress?

Chance

12%

Buy Yes

12¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

89¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold 45 seats in the 120th Congress?2.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold 46 seats in the 120th Congress?2.6¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold 47 seats in the 120th Congress?4.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold 48 seats in the 120th Congress?9.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold 50 seats in the 120th Congress?16¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?16¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?14¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120th Congress?4.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?29¢

Latest trades

1 hour agoSold yes at 12¢$0
21 hours agoSold yes at 12¢$9
yesterdayBought no at 89¢$71
yesterdaySold yes at 12¢$9

How this market is decidedShow

If the Democratic Party has exactly 49 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

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