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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120th Congress?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

4.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 45 minutes agoBought no at 95.2¢$15
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 95.1¢$95
  • 12 hours agoBought no at 95¢$62
  • 12 hours agoBought no at 95¢$48
  • 12 hours agoBought no at 95¢$95
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 95¢$25
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 94.9¢$949
  • yesterdayBought no at 95¢$9
  • yesterdayBought no at 95¢$15
  • yesterdayBought no at 95¢$49
How this market is decidedShow

If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).