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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

16¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

85¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 16¢$0
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 85¢$425
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 16¢$8
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 16¢$16
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 16¢$0
  • 10 hours agoSold yes at 16¢$5
  • 22 hours agoSold yes at 16¢$16
  • yesterdaySold yes at 16¢$47
  • yesterdaySold yes at 16¢$5
  • yesterdaySold yes at 16¢$5
How this market is decidedShow

If the Democratic Party has exactly 51 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).