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Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.7 on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is 39.7 to 39.7.

Chance

26%

Buy Yes

28¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

77¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$11

as Kalshi reports it · 4 fills

Spread

5¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 4:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 minutes agoSold yes at 28¢$0
  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 28¢$0
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 29¢$0
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 30¢$3
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 28¢$0

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by RealClearPolitics. Contract terms (PDF)

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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