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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.86.

Chance

95%

Buy Yes

96¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

6¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 87¢$87
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 82¢$5
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 16¢$0
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 66¢$66
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 55¢$1
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 18, 2026, or one week following Sep 18, 2026.