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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 5.

Chance

54%

Buy Yes

61¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

52¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 60¢$1
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 55¢$55
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 43¢$43
  • yesterdayBought no at 43¢$17
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 18, 2026, or one week following Sep 18, 2026.