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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.96.

Chance

85%

Buy Yes

93¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

23¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 56 minutes agoBought no at 17¢$17
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 32¢$3
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 33¢$2
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 33¢$3
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 33¢$3
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 36¢$4
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 35¢$0
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 37¢$4
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 63¢$6
  • 16 hours agoSold yes at 83¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 18, 2026, or one week following Sep 18, 2026.