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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.9.

Chance

88%

Buy Yes

98¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

22¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 64¢$6
  • 6 hours agoSold yes at 45¢$5
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 42¢$0
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 42¢$0
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 42¢$0
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 42¢$9
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 69¢$7
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 18, 2026, or one week following Sep 18, 2026.