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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.94.

Chance

61%

Buy Yes

99¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

77¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 11 minutes agoSold yes at 99¢$10
  • 11 minutes agoSold yes at 99¢$1
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 61¢$61
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 89¢$20
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$58
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 66¢$53
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 30¢$30
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 29¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 79¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.