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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.98.

Chance

42%

Buy Yes

78¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 8 minutes agoSold yes at 78¢$1
  • 8 minutes agoSold yes at 83¢$2
  • 21 minutes agoSold yes at 77¢$1
  • 21 minutes agoSold yes at 78¢$1
  • 22 minutes agoSold yes at 77¢$0
  • 22 minutes agoSold yes at 75¢$1
  • 22 minutes agoSold yes at 75¢$3
  • 39 minutes agoSold yes at 57¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 81¢$54
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 79¢$79
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.