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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 5.

Chance

57%

Buy Yes

57¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoBought no at 79¢$79
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 68¢$68
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 57¢$57
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 55¢$14
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 63¢$35
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 59¢$59
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 58¢$44
  • 13 hours agoSold yes at 43¢$1
  • 13 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$4
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$10
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.