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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.96.

Chance

84%

Buy Yes

84¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 84¢$0
  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 84¢$0
  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 84¢$0
  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 84¢$0
  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 87¢$0
  • 29 minutes agoBought no at 54¢$54
  • 41 minutes agoSold yes at 83¢$0
  • 41 minutes agoSold yes at 83¢$0
  • 41 minutes agoSold yes at 83¢$0
  • 41 minutes agoSold yes at 83¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.