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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.56% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.56.

Chance

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 38 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoBought no at 11¢$11
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 99¢$10
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 95¢$95
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 99¢$50
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 98¢$66
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 99¢$10
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 99¢$99
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.