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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.58% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.58.

Chance

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

12¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 37 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 99¢$10
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 99¢$74
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 10¢$2
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 10¢$1
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 11¢$6
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 11¢$6
  • 5 hours agoBought no at $0
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 12¢$12
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 12¢$12
  • 9 hours agoBought no at $3
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.