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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.7.

Chance

88%

Buy Yes

99¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

23¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 37 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 29 minutes agoSold yes at 99¢$74
  • 55 minutes agoSold yes at 87¢$2
  • 59 minutes agoSold yes at 79¢$2
  • 60 minutes agoSold yes at 76¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 33¢$33
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 18¢$0
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 89¢$89
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 92¢$276
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 12¢$12
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.