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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.68.

Chance

97%

Buy Yes

99¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

5¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 37 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 29 minutes agoSold yes at 99¢$23
  • 29 minutes agoSold yes at 99¢$62
  • 34 minutes agoSold yes at 99¢$51
  • 40 minutes agoSold yes at 98¢$66
  • 41 minutes agoSold yes at 98¢$66
  • 42 minutes agoSold yes at 98¢$66
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 81¢$2
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 82¢$2
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 35¢$0
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 74¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.