Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

39%

Buy Yes

43¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

64¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 24 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?24¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?33¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14¢

Latest trades

24 minutes agoBought No at 63.2¢$8
1 hour agoSold Yes at 35¢$5
1 hour agoBought No at 65¢$9
2 hours agoSold Yes at 33¢$0
2 hours agoSold No at 66¢$11
2 hours agoBought No at 67¢$9
2 hours agoBought No at 67¢$14
2 hours agoBought No at 67¢$7
4 hours agoBought No at 67¢$27
4 hours agoBought No at 67¢$3