Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

22%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

79¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?33¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14¢

Latest trades

13 minutes agoBought No at 78¢$10
47 minutes agoBought No at 77¢$15
1 hour agoBought No at 82.9¢$22
1 hour agoBought No at 80.9¢$38
1 hour agoBought No at 74¢$10
1 hour agoBought Yes at 26.3¢$16
1 hour agoBought Yes at 23.3¢$15
1 hour agoSold Yes at 16¢$0
2 hours agoBought Yes at 21¢$5
2 hours agoBought No at 80.7¢$16