Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

8%

Buy Yes

13¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?24¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?42¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?33¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?8¢

Latest trades

34 minutes agoBought Yes at 12¢$2
1 hour agoBought Yes at 11.1¢$2
2 hours agoBought Yes at 12¢$2
2 hours agoBought Yes at 12.4¢$4
2 hours agoSold No at 88¢$0
2 hours agoBought No at 96.9¢$21
2 hours agoBought No at 94.4¢$13
2 hours agoBought No at 94¢$9
4 hours agoSold Yes at 2¢$0
4 hours agoBought No at 96.5¢$39