Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

31%

Buy Yes

33¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

71¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 16 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?35¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?33¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?24¢
Can’t both happenWill Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17¢

Latest trades

2 hours agoBought No at 71¢$6
2 hours agoBought No at 71¢$14
2 hours agoBought No at 69¢$9
3 hours agoSold Yes at 30¢$0
3 hours agoBought Yes at 30¢$2
3 hours agoBought No at 71¢$16
3 hours agoBought No at 71¢$10
4 hours agoSold Yes at 31¢$0
4 hours agoBought No at 69¢$7
4 hours agoBought No at 69¢$15