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Economics

1,728 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027Above 125000EconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202883%—Kalshi86¢—7¢Thin
Perplexity IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO before 2028EconomicsEnds Dec 31, 202763%—Polymarket63¢—1¢Thin
Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026Above 10.8 millionEconomicsEnds May 27, 202775%—Kalshi79¢—8¢Thin
Robinhood gold subs in Q3Above 4.9 millionEconomicsEnds Mar 4, 202798%—Kalshi99¢—3¢Thin
Spotify headcount in 2026Above 7100EconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202885%—Kalshi89¢—9¢Thin
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026Above 368 thousandEconomicsEnds Feb 10, 202731%—Kalshi33¢—5¢Thin
Starbucks total global stores in 2026Above 41300EconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202894%—Kalshi96¢—4¢Thin
Starlink active subscribers in Q3Above 12.5 millionEconomicsEnds Mar 4, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in SeptemberAt least $6.69EconomicsEnds Oct 1, 202698%—Kalshi99¢—3¢Thin
Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3Above 12 twhEconomicsEnds Mar 6, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Toast total locations in 2026Above 189 thousandEconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202893%—Kalshi94¢—2¢Thin
Uber trips in fiscal 2026Above 15.4 billionEconomicsEnds May 12, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—4¢Thin
Ulta comparable sales in fiscal 2026Above 3.5%EconomicsEnds Jun 9, 202781%—Kalshi85¢—9¢Thin
USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?Above 56.0%EconomicsEnds Feb 28, 202779%—Kalshi83¢—8¢Thin
US new home sales for AugustAbove 540,000EconomicsEnds Sep 24, 202696%—Kalshi98¢—5¢Thin
US trade deficit for 2027Above $500 billionEconomicsEnds Feb 4, 202893%————Thin
US trade deficit for 2028Above $500 billionEconomicsEnds Feb 5, 202997%—Kalshi99¢—4¢Thin
US trade deficit for 2029Above $500 billionEconomicsEnds Feb 4, 203097%—Kalshi99¢—4¢Thin
US trade deficit for 2030Above $500 billionEconomicsEnds Feb 3, 203197%—Kalshi99¢—4¢Thin
US trade deficit for 2031Above $500 billionEconomicsEnds Feb 2, 203297%—Kalshi99¢—4¢Thin
US trade deficit for 2032Above $500 billionEconomicsEnds Feb 7, 203397%—Kalshi99¢—4¢Thin
Venezuela crude oil production in SeptemberAt least 800K bpdEconomicsEnds Oct 13, 202697%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026Above -9%EconomicsEnds May 26, 202793%—Kalshi95¢—5¢Thin
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?$OAIEconomicsEnds Dec 30, 202765%—Polymarket76¢—22¢Thin
When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce?Before Jun 1, 2027EconomicsEnds Nov 1, 202696%—Kalshi99¢—7¢Thin
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by September 30?↑$7.75BEconomicsEnds Oct 1, 202643%—Polymarket81¢—77¢Thin
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by September 30?↑$12BEconomicsEnds Oct 1, 202656%—Polymarket92¢—73¢Thin
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in fiscal 2026Above 880 thousandEconomicsEnds May 12, 202795%—Kalshi98¢—7¢Thin
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q3Above 876 thousandEconomicsEnds Feb 18, 202784%—Kalshi88¢—8¢Thin
Wyoming total coal production in 2026Above 180 MMstEconomicsEnds Apr 1, 202795%—Kalshi95¢—1¢Thin
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026Above 204EconomicsEnds May 2, 202780%—Kalshi84¢—9¢Thin
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026Above 10.8 billionEconomicsEnds May 6, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
ADP employment change in Nov 2026?Above -25000EconomicsEnds Dec 2, 202695%—Kalshi97¢—5¢Thin
Airbnb bookings in Q3Above 138 millionEconomicsEnds Mar 5, 202795%—Kalshi96¢—2¢Thin
American Express headcount in fiscal 2026Above 71 thousandEconomicsEnds May 14, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026Above $24,000EconomicsEnds Jan 31, 202796%—Kalshi99¢—6¢Thin
Bank of Mexico rate decision in DecemberMaintain current rateEconomicsEnds Dec 17, 202689%—Kalshi93¢—8¢Thin
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)Above 0.5%EconomicsEnds Mar 2, 202790%—Kalshi94¢—8¢Thin
CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026Above 500EconomicsEnds May 26, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—4¢Thin
Chewy active customers in fiscal 2026Above 21.7 millionEconomicsEnds Jun 22, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Chick-fil-A Chicken Sandwich price in SeptemberAt least $5.39EconomicsEnds Oct 1, 202695%—Kalshi97¢—5¢Thin
China’s government budget balance in 2026Above -9.5% of GDPEconomicsEnds Apr 20, 202795%—Kalshi99¢—8¢Thin
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3Above -1%EconomicsEnds Feb 18, 202794%—Kalshi96¢—5¢Thin
Clear+ members in Q3Above 8.4 millionEconomicsEnds Mar 5, 202768%—Kalshi72¢—9¢Thin
Coinbase monthly transacting users in fiscal 2026Above 6.5 millionEconomicsEnds May 12, 202795%—Kalshi99¢—9¢Thin
CoreWeave contracted power capacity in fiscal 2026Above 4.4 gwEconomicsEnds May 26, 202792%—Kalshi96¢—9¢Thin
Datadog customer over$100k ARR in fiscal 2026Above 5040EconomicsEnds May 27, 202794%—Kalshi98¢—9¢Thin
Dave ExtraCash origination volume in fiscal 2026Above $9.3 billionEconomicsEnds May 27, 202787%—Kalshi91¢—9¢Thin
Dick's comparable sales in Q3Above 0%EconomicsEnds Mar 24, 202795%—Kalshi99¢—8¢Thin
Disney domestic parks attendance growth in fiscal 2026Above -3%EconomicsEnds Feb 10, 202793%—Kalshi96¢—7¢Thin
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