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Politics

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NY-15 House winner?Ritchie TorresPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi99¢$490
NY-22 House winner?John MannionPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202794%—Kalshi95.4¢$487
TX-16 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202635%—Polymarket36.5¢$486
MO-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket26¢$484
CA-45 House Election WinnerDerek Tran (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202693%—Polymarket94¢$481
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?31%+PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202688%—Polymarket88¢$480
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?6%+PoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202638%—Polymarket39¢$480
TX-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202618%—Polymarket19¢$479
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?Before Jan 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202667%—Kalshi70¢$476
SC-07 House winner?Russell FryPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi96¢$475
French Socialist Primary: First Round WinnerRaphaël GlucksmannPoliticsEnds Oct 10, 202687%—Polymarket89¢$475
MD-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 70-75%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202637%—Polymarket38¢$471
Will marijuana be rescheduled?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202626%—Kalshi27¢$471
Paraná Senate Election: 1st PlaceDeltan DallagnolPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202649%—Polymarket50¢$470
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202761%—Kalshi62¢$469
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?20-24PoliticsEnds Oct 26, 202639%—Polymarket40¢$467
SC-02 House winner?Joe WilsonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202792%—Kalshi93¢$466
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$465
Virginia Senate Election: Turnout3.5M-3.75MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%—Polymarket29¢$462
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerEduardo PaesPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202684%—Polymarket83.8¢$462
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?5-7%PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 202699%—Polymarket99.6¢$462
Oregon Governor winner?Tina KotekPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202785%—Kalshi85¢$458
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceCommunist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)PoliticsEnds Sep 19, 202693%—Polymarket93¢$456
NC-09 House Election WinnerRichard Hudson (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202673%—Polymarket74¢$454
Who will be arrested before 2027?James ComeyPolitics7%—Polymarket7.6¢$454
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?VenezuelaPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket10¢$452
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?CubaPoliticsEnds Jan 20, 20294%—Kalshi4¢$448
Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?17-20%PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202644%—Polymarket44¢$447
Central Coast Mayoral Election WinnerCheryl FullerPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202655%—Polymarket60¢$446
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202614%—Polymarket15¢$444
Alaska House winner?Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202783%—Kalshi83¢$441
When will Trump release more UFO files?Before Sep 18, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 21, 20267%—Kalshi11¢$437
How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026?1PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202636%—Kalshi45¢$437
2028 House winnerDemocratic partyPoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202973%—Kalshi74¢$436
Next Premier of VictoriaJess WilsonPoliticsEnds Nov 28, 202672%—Polymarket73¢$427
Georgia Lieutenant Governor Election WinnerGreg Dolezal (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202655%—Polymarket59¢$426
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?Independent/TechnocratPoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202762%—Polymarket64¢$426
Will Tim Walz resign by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20263%—Polymarket3.3¢$424
Berlin state election winner?Die LinkePoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202764%—Kalshi65¢$423
Will Trump pardon anyone by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202683%—Polymarket84¢$419
How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026?At least 3PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 20265%—Kalshi6¢$417
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5.4¢$417
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceDr. Fernando MáximoPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202655%—Polymarket57¢$414
Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20279%—Kalshi9¢$412
Ohio Senate Election: Turnout4.35M-4.5MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202639%—Polymarket40¢$409
AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?2PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202676%—Polymarket76¢$406
ME-02 House winner?Paul LePagePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202760%—Kalshi60¢$406
AZ-01 House winner?Amish ShahPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202773%—Kalshi73¢$405
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202656%—Polymarket56¢$397
Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20267%—Kalshi9¢$396
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