Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?
This market resolves based on whether the United States and China announce an AI safety agreement by a specified date.
- Leading
- Before Dec 1, 202620%
- Trades on
Kalshi- Vol 24h
- $106Thin
- Spread
- 1¢round trip on Before Dec 1, 2026
- Ends
- Sep 30, 2026
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Vol 24h | Spread | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 20% | — | $106 | 1¢Thin | 20¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 24% | — | — | 3¢Thin | 25¢ | |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 15% | — | — | 2¢Thin | 16¢ | |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4% | — | — | 1¢Thin | 4¢ |
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