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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.76.

Chance

10%

Buy Yes

10¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 25 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$2
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$4
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 7¢$4
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 10¢$0
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 99¢$33
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 98¢$66
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 98¢$66
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 98¢$98
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.