Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7.9¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1¢

Latest trades

36 minutes agoBought No at 99.7¢$40
36 minutes agoSold Yes at 1¢$4
36 minutes agoBought No at 99¢$99
52 minutes agoBought No at 99¢$19
52 minutes agoBought No at 99¢$20
53 minutes agoBought No at 96¢$9
53 minutes agoBought No at 98.8¢$29
53 minutes agoBought No at 96¢$10
53 minutes agoBought No at 96¢$9
53 minutes agoBought No at 97.4¢$29