Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

69%

Buy Yes

71¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

33¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 25 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?6.7¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15.7¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2¢

Latest trades

9 minutes agoBought No at 28.7¢$43
9 minutes agoBought No at 28¢$2
9 minutes agoBought Yes at 77.8¢$275
10 minutes agoBought No at 30.1¢$4
10 minutes agoBought No at 30¢$2
10 minutes agoBought No at 29.1¢$5
10 minutes agoBought No at 28.3¢$7
10 minutes agoSold No at 22¢$1
10 minutes agoSold No at 25¢$4
10 minutes agoBought Yes at 72.6¢$473