Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 21 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?80¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.4¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.6¢

Latest trades

1 hour agoBought No at 98.6¢$49
1 hour agoBought No at 98.6¢$23
1 hour agoSold Yes at 3¢$12
1 hour agoBought No at 98.4¢$21
1 hour agoBought No at 98.2¢$39
1 hour agoBought No at 98.4¢$44
1 hour agoBought Yes at 3.3¢$1
2 hours agoSold Yes at 3.1¢$12
2 hours agoBought No at 96.8¢$97
2 hours agoBought No at 97¢$450