Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.9¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 29 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.4¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7.9¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢

Latest trades

56 minutes agoBought No at 99.9¢$40
57 minutes agoBought No at 99.8¢$100
57 minutes agoBought No at 99.9¢$463
1 hour agoBought No at 99.8¢$19
1 hour agoBought No at 99.8¢$20
1 hour agoBought No at 99.8¢$29
1 hour agoBought No at 99.8¢$34
1 hour agoBought No at 99.8¢$10
1 hour agoBought No at 99.8¢$30
1 hour agoBought No at 99.8¢$9