Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

16¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

86¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 25 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.4¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7.9¢
Can’t both happenWill Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1¢

Latest trades

52 minutes agoBought No at 86¢$842
53 minutes agoBought No at 85¢$85
53 minutes agoBought No at 86¢$17
53 minutes agoBought No at 86¢$34
53 minutes agoSold Yes at 15¢$60
53 minutes agoBought No at 85¢$317
1 hour agoBought No at 85¢$16
1 hour agoBought No at 85¢$17
1 hour agoBought No at 85¢$25
1 hour agoBought No at 85¢$26